Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.028682 0.030872 0.033068 0.035432 0.037901 0.040402 0.043122
2025-11-09 0.024466 0.027902 0.031470 0.035437 0.039712 0.044165 0.049142
2025-11-16 0.021839 0.025991 0.030414 0.035446 0.040982 0.046859 0.053542
2025-11-23 0.019717 0.024363 0.029421 0.035287 0.041854 0.048933 0.057095
2025-11-30 0.018028 0.023051 0.028630 0.035210 0.042687 0.050853 0.060377
2025-12-07 0.016323 0.021588 0.027549 0.034696 0.042932 0.052035 0.062765
2025-12-14 0.014801 0.020233 0.026500 0.034131 0.043041 0.052997 0.064848
2025-12-21 0.013288 0.018795 0.025270 0.033276 0.042747 0.053444 0.066294
2025-12-28 0.012727 0.018479 0.025341 0.033924 0.044174 0.055842 0.069953
2026-01-04 0.011951 0.017848 0.024992 0.034035 0.044942 0.057458 0.072697
2026-01-11 0.011134 0.017117 0.024480 0.033914 0.045406 0.058697 0.074988
2026-01-18 0.010713 0.016873 0.024552 0.034490 0.046690 0.060890 0.078385
2026-01-25 0.010069 0.016335 0.024272 0.034665 0.047544 0.062646 0.081366
2026-02-01 0.009375 0.015704 0.023857 0.034666 0.048190 0.064171 0.084104
2026-02-08 0.008745 0.015121 0.023471 0.034674 0.048825 0.065665 0.086793
2026-02-15 0.008099 0.014478 0.022975 0.034518 0.049232 0.066870 0.089127
2026-02-22 0.007535 0.013916 0.022561 0.034441 0.049721 0.068160 0.091555
2026-03-01 0.006857 0.013151 0.021838 0.033934 0.049645 0.068743 0.093116
2026-03-08 0.006216 0.012398 0.021099 0.033377 0.049480 0.069197 0.094507
2026-03-15 0.005532 0.011536 0.020172 0.032535 0.048921 0.069143 0.095259
2026-03-22 0.005358 0.011461 0.020348 0.033173 0.050270 0.071459 0.098916
2026-03-29 0.005037 0.011130 0.020143 0.033283 0.050925 0.072904 0.101502
2026-04-05 0.004671 0.010705 0.019783 0.033164 0.051270 0.073954 0.103597